Spring’s here, but the market isn’t (yet) firing on all cylinders – September 2025 Melbourne Property Market Update

Spring is in the air, but not all segments of the Melbourne property market are feeling the heat. While some price brackets are showing strong signs of buyer interest, others remain subdued, and much of the market is still in a holding pattern.

Here’s what’s happening, what’s changed, and what to plan for in the weeks ahead.

Activity is up, but not evenly

There’s no doubt the market is getting busier. Mid-$1 million family homes are seeing decent turnout, and well-presented properties in the $600,000 to $900,000 bracket continue to attract solid interest.

At the higher end, however, momentum remains patchy. Many campaigns – particularly those around $3 million and beyond – are seeing only one active bidder come auction day. Even in blue-chip suburbs, buyer turnout at opens is often modest, and many “sold at auction” headlines are masking lengthy post-auction negotiations.

It’s a reminder that markets in transition are hard to read. Buyer behaviour is inconsistent, auction reporting can be misleading, and outcomes often hinge on just one or two participants. In many cases, the first serious offer is also the best one – and buyers and sellers alike should prepare accordingly.

First home buyer support expands from 1 October 2025

Significant changes to the First Home Guarantee take effect from 1 October:

  • Price cap lifted: from $800,000 to $950,000 in metro Melbourne
  • No income caps
  • More flexibility: no limit on the number of applicants per application

This will open the door to more buyers, and will likely fuel strong competition in the $750,000 to $950,000 bracket. If you’re buying in this range, especially in Melbourne’s inner and middle rings, prepare for heightened competition through Spring.

Even if you’re not engaging a buyer’s advocate, now is the time to get your team organised, starting with your award-winning mortgage brokers at AXTON Finance.

Underquoting remains a hot topic

Underquoting is again in the media spotlight, and deservedly so. In some campaigns, pricing guides remain noticeably out of sync with final outcomes.

Kate Vines recently contributed to an article on realestate.com.au exploring how first home buyers are navigating this environment – read it here.

The reality is that compromise is often part of the buying process, whether that’s on suburb, house features or price. The key is knowing which compromises you’re prepared to make, and which are dealbreakers. That’s where working with an advocate can help, especially in high-pressure market conditions.

Selling in Spring or Autumn? Start now

Spring listing activity is increasing, and by December, the market is expected to be crowded. Many of these will be homes from buyers who have already secured a new property, or vendors hoping to take advantage of recent signs of life.

If you’re planning to sell, either this Spring or in early 2026, don’t wait until the rush. Early preparation puts you in a stronger position and gives you time to optimise your campaign strategy.

Whether you’re looking for a market appraisal, advice on agent selection, or full campaign support, we can help. Reach out to Joe Stinear or Kate Vines at [email protected] or call 03 9939 7576 to discuss next steps.

The best time to buy a home was 10 years ago. The second-best time is when you’re ready. 

If you’re ready now, or getting close, take the next step with AXTON’s property advocates Joe Stinear and Kate Vines. Whether you’re new to the market or already pre-approved, our expert team is ready to guide you. For tailored advice, insights, or representation, contact us today at [email protected] or call 03 9939 7576.

Ready or not, the Spring market has arrived – Melbourne Property Market Update August 2025

It may still be winter on the calendar, but the property market is already moving into Spring mode. Listings are rising, buyers are active and competition is building, especially in key mid- to upper-range price brackets.

Here’s what we’re seeing on the ground, what’s driving it, and why being prepared matters now more than ever.

The Spring market has arrived early

Agents across Melbourne are reporting strong pipelines for September, October and beyond,  and buyer turnout at open homes has noticeably lifted. In particular, properties priced around $1.5 million and $3 million are seeing substantial interest, provided they’re priced realistically.

With this week’s rate cut adding fuel to the fire, many buyers now expect prices to rise during Spring. That’s increasing urgency – especially in popular suburbs – and pre-auction offers are becoming more common.

Pre-auction pressure is back

We’ve seen a growing number of properties sold early, either via surprise auction reschedules or short-notice cut-offs after acceptable offers land. Inboxes are filling up with agent texts like:

“We have received an unconditional offer of $1.31 million. If you wish to contend, please get in touch by 10am tomorrow.”

“Due to an acceptable offer, the auction has been brought forward to tonight at 5:30pm.”

What’s behind these? It varies. Sometimes a buyer has missed out on previous properties and is keen to get ahead. Other times, the agent has identified a single serious buyer and is pushing to close quickly.

Whatever the reason, these tactics are becoming more frequent, not just in the inner north, but across leafy eastern, bayside and southeastern pockets.

Underquoting is back in focus

With more buyer activity comes renewed attention on underquoting. It’s once again a hot media topic … and for good reason.

We’re seeing examples across lower price points where guide ranges don’t align with final sale prices. While some agents use underquoting to build momentum or manage vendor expectations, it’s frustrating for buyers and distorts market transparency.

The unfortunate reality is that residential property isn’t always rational. Emotion, urgency and competition can all drive results beyond logic, especially for in-demand homes.

Thinking of selling? Now’s the time

With buyer momentum building and listings expected to surge through to December, now is a smart time to start preparing.

Many of the homes coming to market later in the year will be from sellers who bought earlier in Spring, or from owners responding to improving conditions. As stock increases, the competition for buyers may soften.

Getting your property market-ready early allows you to take advantage of current demand, while giving yourself flexibility to act when the timing suits.

If you’re considering selling, we can help with as much or as little of the process as you need from marketability assessments through to full campaign management.

Contact Kate Vine or Joe Stinear on 03 9939 7576 or [email protected] to learn more.

Buyers: don’t delay your finance prep

Rate cuts are sharpening buyer focus, and with market confidence rising, pre-approval is more important than ever.

Waiting until the right property appears is risky. Paperwork takes time, and buying conditions are becoming more competitive by the week.

A quick reminder:

  • When rates fall, borrowing power increases, but so does competition
  • A-grade properties attract attention in any market
  • C-grade homes only become appealing when buyers are priced out of better options

Contact the experienced team at AXTON Finance to secure your pre approval the right way.

Valuation activity is up

Demand for property valuations has increased, particularly from lawyers, accountants and family law practitioners. If you or your clients need:

  • Urgent reports for family law or SMSF compliance
  • Independent valuation critiques
  • Expert witness challenges or support

The best time to buy a home was 10 years ago. The second-best time is when you’re ready. 

If you’re ready now, or getting close, take the next step with AXTON’s property advocates Joe Stinear and Kate Vines. Whether you’re new to the market or already pre-approved, our expert team is ready to guide you. For tailored advice, insights, or representation, contact us today at [email protected] or call 03 9939 7576.

 

Is the Melbourne Property market warming early? What June is telling us about Spring 2025

Sentiment is shifting. Media headlines are catching up. And if the last few weeks are anything to go by, Melbourne’s property market could be heading for an early Spring.

Here’s what’s happening, what it means for buyers and sellers, and why the next few months could be more active than usual.

Market narrative is changing, and behaviour is following

The tone of media coverage has turned. Headlines in recent weeks have pointed to rising prices, strong auction clearance rates, and renewed momentum in prestige markets. These include:

While individual results don’t make a trend, the volume and tone of these reports suggest the market mood has decisively shifted. And as we’ve seen time and again, once the narrative changes, buyer behaviour tends to follow.

Over the past six to eight weeks, blue-chip suburbs have started outperforming, with off-market and pre-market sales fetching prices well above 2023 and 2024 levels. These areas often lead market recoveries and are the last to soften when conditions turn. Their recent performance is an early signal of what Spring might bring.

More A-grade homes, more competition

As confidence builds, more high-quality homes are being listed and attracting strong interest. This is expected to increase heading into Spring, with more properties appealing to multiple serious buyers, rather than just one or two.

Price strength is likely to follow. Not immediately and not across all segments, but A-grade homes in desirable locations are already showing signs of renewed demand.

First home buyers remain highly active

Enquiry from first home buyers is strong and growing. Unlike in past years, this cohort is more diverse in terms of age, income and budgets. Older-style apartments and villa units remain a key focus, though demand is concentrated in owner-occupier-friendly properties — with investors still largely sitting on the sidelines.

The takeaway? Owner appeal is key, and competition is likely to intensify further as rates drop and borrowing capacity improves.

Don’t delay finance preparation

With the market heating up, the usual reminder applies: get pre-approved before you start house hunting seriously. Paperwork might feel tedious, but waiting until the right property appears is a sure way to miss out.

When rates fall, your borrowing power may rise … but so does everyone else’s. That doesn’t mean you need to rush a purchase, but it does mean being ready puts you in a stronger position when it counts.

Need a referral to a broker, solicitor or building inspector? We work with people we trust and would be happy to connect you.

Vendor advocacy enquiries are rising

EOFY and the early signs of a busy Spring have prompted more homeowners to seek support ahead of selling. We’re currently working with eight vendor clients, ranging from those needing help managing a relationship breakdown or estate, to others who simply want an expert to take the stress out of the process.

Our vendor advocacy service is flexible, whether you need a one-off assessment or full management of your sale campaign. If you’re considering selling and want to explore your options, get in touch at [email protected]

The best time to buy a home was 10 years ago. The second-best time is when you’re ready. 

If you’re ready now, or getting close, take the next step with AXTON’s property advocates Joe Stinear and Kate Vines. Whether you’re new to the market or already pre-approved, our expert team is ready to guide you. For tailored advice, insights, or representation, contact us today at [email protected] or call 03 9939 7576.

 

Melbourne market shifts gear as optimism grows in May 2025

Melbourne’s property market is edging closer to a turning point. Sentiment is clearly improving, buyers are more active, and early signs of price strength are emerging in key suburbs. But for now, much of this remains a story of preparation rather than action.

Here’s what’s driving the market this month, and why now is the time to get ready.

Optimism is growing

Buyers are more confident than they were six months ago. Rate cuts are now widely expected, the Federal election is over, and more stock is anticipated over the coming months. Together, these factors are creating a sense that prices could rise over the next year, prompting more buyers to start making plans.

So far, this hasn’t translated into a broad rise in prices. However, some traditional market leaders, such as Albert Park, Hawthorn and Canterbury, are already recording stronger-than-expected results, especially in off-market and pre-market sales. These suburbs tend to move first in a rising market, signalling that change may be underway.

Off-plan stamp duty savings extended

The Victorian Government has extended the off-plan stamp duty concession by 12 months, with no purchase price cap. This means significant savings for buyers such as up to $100,000 on a $2.5 million apartment or townhouse.

For downsizers and “right-sizers” in particular, this can meaningfully reduce upfront costs at settlement. Off-plan purchases still require careful due diligence and professional advice, but the incentive has made them a far more attractive option for some buyers.

First home buyers are leading the market

First home buyers are now the most active segment in Melbourne, making up a higher proportion of participants than at any time in recent memory. This group spans a broader range of ages, incomes and price brackets than before.

With interest rates tipped to fall, borrowing power is expected to improve, but so will competition. A-grade properties are always desirable and tend to sell first. C-grade homes only become appealing when buyers are priced out of better options. If you’re planning to buy, be strategic, and don’t wait until everyone else is chasing the same homes.

Prepare your finance now

Pre-approval applications are rising, but many buyers still leave finance to the last minute. Paperwork may be dull, but it’s essential to have it done before the market accelerates. Being pre-approved allows you to move quickly on the right property and bid with confidence.

If you need a referral to an experienced broker, accountant or adviser, we’re happy to connect you with professionals we know and trust.

Look beyond your first-choice suburb

Melbourne is made up of hundreds of “villages” with their own rhythms, amenities and lifestyle features. When searching for your first home, consider the next suburb over, or a different property type, and think about your long-term exit strategy. Location, lifestyle and flexibility all matter when circumstances change.

Vendor advocacy on the rise

Vendor advocacy services are in high demand right now. Many sellers want independent support to manage their sale or simply don’t have the time to handle it themselves.

Our professional vendor advocacy can be as light-touch as a one-off valuation and marketability assessment, or as comprehensive as managing the entire campaign. In May, we’re representing ten vendor clients across a range of property types – from busy professionals outsourcing the sales process to families navigating relationship breakdowns or estates.

The best time to buy a home was 10 years ago. The second-best time is when you’re ready. 

If you’re ready now, or getting close, take the next step with AXTON’s property advocates Joe Stinear and Kate Vines. Whether you’re new to the market or already pre-approved, our expert team is ready to guide you. For tailored advice, insights, or representation, contact us today at [email protected] or call 03 9939 7576.

 

Buyers are circling, but still waiting: April 2025 Melbourne Property Market Update

The mood in the Melbourne property market has shifted, but not dramatically. Buyer sentiment remains optimistic, but many are still sitting back, waiting for someone else to move first. The phrase “cautiously optimistic” feels like an understatement right now.

Here’s what’s happening in the market, who’s active, and why April could set the tone for the months ahead.

Confidence is building, but action is still slow

Buyers are more engaged than they were a year ago. Many are ready to buy if the right home comes along and are willing to pay fair value. But they’re not rushing. The dominant mindset right now is: “I’ll act when others do.”

In short, buyers are at the party; they’re just not on the dancefloor.

High-end listings are rising, and they’re selling

Listings in the upper price brackets – above $5 million, and in some areas above $10 million – have increased year-on-year. Importantly, they’re not just sitting on the market. In many suburbs, these homes are selling rather than being quietly withdrawn after weeks of low interest. This activity suggests confidence at the top end of the market is improving.

Family buyers are building momentum

There’s been a clear increase in enquiry and inspection numbers from family home buyers. 

Many agents are reporting stronger engagement across their open homes, and finance brokers are seeing a lift in pre-approval requests. However, while buyer interest is growing, this hasn’t yet led to price growth.

Factors like school holidays, a looming Federal election and global uncertainty may be holding the market back temporarily. Without additional stimulus, there’s a risk the buzz that’s been building since February could plateau rather than continue rising.

Interest rate cuts could be the next catalyst

Markets are currently pricing in a 100% chance of a rate cut in May, with at least two more expected later in the year.

Historically, multiple rate cuts in quick succession tend to spark strong buyer activity. Even in softer economic conditions, rate drops often drive interest back to property – particularly from buyers prioritising security, stability and longer-term value.

Demand for new home sites is rising

Momentum is continuing to build around new home sites, especially older properties in good locations that are ripe for knockdown and rebuild. Buyers in this segment are looking ahead. Some plan to rent the property out short-term, while others expect to move in before redeveloping.

Regardless of the path, the shared belief is that now is a smart time to buy land. For some, it’s a chance to secure a site at the bottom of the market. For others, it’s about getting ready to build once costs ease further or their borrowing power increases.

Pre-approvals and plans to renovate are increasing

As in recent months, first home buyers and first family home buyers remain active. But there’s now growing interest from borrowers considering renovations and investment purchases as well. This broader mix of activity signals a market in transition, with more momentum likely to come in the second half of the year.

If you’re planning to buy or renovate soon, don’t wait until the market heats up. Pre-approval takes time, and paperwork is far easier to tackle before you’re in a rush. Getting finance sorted now gives you the flexibility to move quickly when the right property comes up.

Selling? Vendor advocacy could make your life easier

If selling is on the cards in 2025 but you’re not sure where to start, vendor advocacy may be worth exploring. It’s a flexible service tailored to your needs, whether that’s a one-off value assessment or end-to-end support managing the sale.

Over the past month, vendor advocacy clients have ranged from downsizers to busy families, all looking for expert guidance or simply wanting to take the stress out of the process. If you’d like to learn more, get in touch at  [email protected].

Valuation services ahead of 30 June

April also marks the start of a busy valuation season. Requests from accountants and auditors are picking up, particularly for SMSF and trust reporting. If you or your clients require compliant market valuations ahead of 30 June, we can assist.

We also provide critiques of expert valuation reports, especially in family law matters, and can offer questions to challenge opposing reports. If this is relevant to you or your clients, we’re happy to discuss the options.

The best time to buy a home was 10 years ago. The second-best time is when you’re ready. 

If you’re ready now, or getting close, take the next step with AXTON’s property advocates Joe Stinear and Kate Vines. Whether you’re new to the market or already pre-approved, our expert team is ready to guide you. For tailored advice, insights, or representation, contact us today at [email protected] or call 03 9939 7576. Let us help you buy with clarity and confidence.

Buyer activity, build-ready sites and market timing: Melbourne Property Market Update March 2025

Buyer confidence is slowly improving in Melbourne, but the market hasn’t fully shifted gears just yet. While February saw a lift in activity following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s rate cut, March is shaping up as more of a steady progression than a surge.

If you’re looking to buy, renovate or sell in 2025, here’s what the current market conditions are telling us – and what to prepare for over the coming months.

Sentiment is improving, but not yet fuelling competition

The mood among buyers is more optimistic than it was six months ago. First home buyers in particular are more engaged, asking sharper questions and seriously considering specific properties, rather than simply seeking general advice about auctions or the buying process.

But increased confidence hasn’t yet translated into a rush of competition. Many sale campaigns are attracting just one serious buyer rather than multiple bidders. This suggests that while the market is shifting, it hasn’t yet tipped into strong momentum territory.

As one agent put it, Melbourne is “transitioning from a strong buyer’s market to a reasonably strong buyer’s market.” That may change as borrowing conditions improve and more buyers act on their pre-approvals.

Renovated homes remain in demand

Well-presented homes are still outperforming the market, particularly renovated period properties or newer homes with strong lifestyle appeal. Proximity to schools, public transport or village precincts remains a key driver.

These homes continue to attract steady interest, even in an environment where many buyers are still cautious.

New home sites are making a comeback

One of the more notable shifts in March is the rise in demand for build-ready sites. Older homes on good blocks are drawing increased interest from buyers looking to demolish and rebuild, whether through a volume builder or custom design.

Construction costs have eased slightly, and finance brokers are reporting stronger enquiry from buyers who are planning ahead. Many are factoring in the likelihood of lower interest rates later in 2025 and are starting the build process now to get ahead of the curve.

Capacity to borrow is improving (slowly)

While the February rate cut hasn’t made a significant difference to borrowing limits yet, it has improved buyer sentiment. Many prospective buyers have updated their pre-approvals and are watching the market closely for the right opportunity.

However, waiting too long could mean missing the window. Once conditions shift more decisively, competition may intensify quickly.

Planning to buy? Now is the time to act

With Easter falling late this year and a Federal election expected soon after, the April–May period is likely to be quiet. If previous years are any guide, new listings will slow down from April until spring. That makes March one of the last active periods for some time. If you’re thinking about buying, upgrading or building, now is the time to prepare.

Your next steps:

  • Get pre-approved – It’s too late to apply for finance when the market is already running. Make sure your pre-approval is current and reflects your actual capacity. 
  • Finalise your tax return – Lenders need your most recent income information, so now’s the time to lodge your 2024 tax return if you haven’t already. 
  • Get expert advice – Speak to a mortgage broker, accountant or financial planner. If you need a referral, feel free to reach out.

SMSF, Trust or CGT valuation coming up?

With end of financial year around the corner, March is also a good time to start preparing for ATO or SRO valuation requirements. If you or your clients need compliant market valuations across residential assets, our team can assist. Reach out for a quote.

Final tip: do the legwork

Whether you’re new to the market or returning after a break, there’s no substitute for getting out to opens and auctions. Market knowledge helps you spot value, avoid overpriced listings and act decisively when the right home comes up.

The best time to buy a home was 10 years ago. The second-best time is when you’re ready. 

If you’re ready now, or getting close, take the next step with AXTON’s Property Advocates Joe Stinear and Kate Vines. Whether you’re new to the market or already pre-approved, our expert team is ready to guide you. For tailored advice, insights, or representation, contact us today at [email protected] or call 03 9939 7576. Let us help you buy with clarity and confidence.

Buyer confidence is back in Melbourne: February 2025 Property Market Update

The 2025 property market has kicked off with strong momentum in Melbourne. Open homes are busier, auction volumes are building and buyer sentiment is shifting. If you’re thinking about buying, selling or investing this year, understanding these early signals can help you make better decisions.

Buyer numbers are up (but it’s a mixed picture)

Across inner Melbourne, buyer turnout has lifted noticeably. At some inspections, we’ve seen more than 50 groups through – not people, groups. At others, only a handful have turned up.

This reflects a market where confidence is returning, particularly in the $600,000 to $900,000 price range. First home buyers are re-entering, encouraged by the possibility of interest rate cuts and a belief that now is a good time to secure a property.

The same is true for many first family home buyers in the $1.5 million to $2.5 million bracket. These buyers are more optimistic about their ability to sell their existing homes and are starting to plan ahead, confident that interest rates may have peaked.

Vendor sentiment is shifting

Sellers are becoming more confident too. While this hasn’t yet translated into widespread price increases or unrealistic reserves, the tone of the market is changing. The first big auction weekends of the year – 22 and 23 February – will be important indicators.

In contrast, regional Victoria remains slow. Many towns are seeing higher volumes of listings and fewer active buyers. For those considering a coastal or country weekender, this imbalance is creating opportunities. Some areas are feeling the effects of mortgage stress, and this is starting to show up in the form of price reductions.

Auction result: 1 Clevedon Court, Kew

One early sale that stood out was the auction of 1 Clevedon Court, Kew, on 1 February.

  • Quoted price range: $1.75m to $1.85m
  • Number of groups through the campaign: 100+
  • Bidders on the day: 5
  • Final sale price: $2.225m

While the location is desirable – close to MLC and Carey – the home was in poor condition and situated on a narrow laneway rather than a conventional street. We expected some buyer interest, but the final result exceeded expectations by a wide margin. It suggests that certain buyers are still willing to pay a premium for homes with future potential.

Quoting ranges are becoming less reliable

We’re already seeing a wide variation in advertised price guides. Some quotes appear conservative, possibly to generate interest, while others are being revised mid-campaign.

In several campaigns we’ve been monitoring, guides have been increased after strong inspection numbers or early offers. In others, the price remains unchanged, despite obvious buyer demand: a strategy that may be drawing scrutiny soon. It’s likely only a matter of time before media reports of underquoting resurface.

In a few cases, price ranges have been revised downwards, which usually signals a lack of buyer interest or overambitious initial expectations.

If you’re house hunting in 2025, it’s essential to take a critical look at the quoting range. Look at comparable sales. Pay attention to how many people are attending opens. And if 60 groups are walking through a $2m property, chances are the final result will land well above the guide.

Agent behaviour is becoming more polarised

One thing we’ve observed is a split in agent behaviour. Some are proactive: calling every interested buyer and buyer’s agent to follow up. Others are passive, or simply not returning calls.

In our experience, this often happens when agents assume the property will sell easily at auction and don’t see value in chasing buyers. While that might reflect confidence, it’s not always in the vendor’s best interest — especially if qualified buyers are being overlooked.

The next few weeks will be crucial

The end of February and start of March will be busy. Many serious buyers will make their moves before the market slows again in April and May.

Why the slowdown? Easter falls late this year and runs into ANZAC Day, which typically reduces listing volumes. There’s also a Federal election on the horizon. As a result, there may be fewer opportunities to buy until Spring.

Adding to this is growing anticipation of a rate cut. The Reserve Bank of Australia’s next decision could shift sentiment further, and many buyers are trying to get ahead of that curve.

Four things you should do now if you’re buying in 2025

1. Be prepared

Get your pre-approval in place. Understand both your ideal borrowing amount and your maximum capacity, so you can move quickly when the right property comes up.

2. Do the research

There’s no substitute for attending inspections and auctions. It helps you spot over- and under-quoted properties, identify which areas are running hot, and avoid paying too much.

3. Build your team

Have your key people ready: mortgage broker, conveyancer, building and pest inspector, and buyer’s advocate. Being ready saves time when you find a home you love.

4. Think flexibly

Not every suburb is moving at the same pace. Some pockets are seeing intense competition, others are quieter. Renovated homes are attracting stronger interest than unrenovated ones. Try to see the potential in each property, not just its current condition.

Ready to take the next step?

Take the next step with AXTON’s property advocates Joe Stinear and Kate Vines. Whether you’re new to the market or already pre-approved, our expert team is ready to guide you. For tailored advice, insights, or representation, contact us today at [email protected] or call 03 9939 7576. Let us help you buy with clarity and confidence.

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